Thursday, February 26, 2009

Give me more

This week a letter in the Sydney Morning Herald complains about those pointing out problems with the "growth mentality":

The end of growth means the end of civilisation

Those arguing for an end to economic growth seem not to understand the dangers of stagnation and decline (Letters, February 25). Unless economies grow, they stagnate. If they stagnate, the rate of profitability falls. If profitability falls, investment falls. If investment falls, there are very few new businesses, new technologies or new products.

No neat little iPods, mobile phones or the internet, or even blood pressure pills. If there are no new products, there are no new jobs. If people are already losing jobs, this will simply continue. Fewer jobs means less wealth for families, and lower standards of living now and in the future. No growth now means no pensions. And so on.

If this happens, it will make the current downturn look like a walk in the park.


Its author seems not to understand the laws of physics. Unending exponential growth is not physically possible, and the likely consequences of trying to continue it are a complete collapse of the entire system. That is the real risk to civilization.

Instead, we have a period of prosperity and leisure to think about how to run a society that does not depend on unending growth; that does not require an unsustainable supply of fossil fuels and easily mined minerals; and that has a stable population. If we figure those things out there are other challenges - the universe can be a hostile place at times - but they are plenty to be going on with.

If we throw up our hands and decide that growth is essential, we will hit the wall very hard and there will be conflicts over the remaining resources that will make World War 2 look like a walk in the park. Imagine how it would go if we suddenly needed to cut our population in half over the course of ten or twenty years?

I would happily give up my iPod in exchange for the other half of my family, but in fact neither option may be needed if we can just pay attention to reality.

Thursday, February 19, 2009

Insulting My Intelligence

My credit card provider has offered me an increase in my card limit, something it does regularly because they want to make more money off me and I persist in paying the full balance every month. They describe it thus:
Imagine what you could do if your credit limit was increased. You could take the holiday you've been thinking about, buy those clothes you've had your eye on or treat you and your family to something special.

If it were just the limit on my card that was the problem, I could deposit some extra cash onto it, taking me into surplus; and then buy whatever it was I wanted. Can't be that. So it must be that I don't have that cash, and they would like me to buy stuff anyway. What they do not mention anywhere on this form (even in the fine print) is the exhorbitant interest rate that I would be paying for "that holiday" that I've been thinking about.

In other words, they are hoping I don't really understand how credit cards work; they don't think I'm very smart. Well thanks, Mr Credit Card Provider. In return, I suggest that you understand exactly how credit cards work - but you are amoral and indifferent to anything beyond accumulating more money.

This is of course how corporations work. But it doesn't really match the cuddly image they like to project in the media. I have an amorphous rant in my head about this which I hope to polish sometime soon. And I prefer not to have my intelligence insulted in personally addressed form; it's bad enough seeing ads for Reality TV shows.

In the meantime, I sometimes wonder if it should be compulsory to take a simple maths exam (calculators permitted) before getting credit of any kind.